Any of you movie gurus ever explored Hollywood Stock Exchange? It is a sort of "fantasy stock market" centering around the U.S. film industry.
Phaedrus
Phaedrus
yeah there's an amazing number of people that play that "game." I've been playing for over a year, and have only been playing the "openers." Haven't delved into any of the other options, I'm not sure how they work. You start out with 2 million, I went up to 6 million at one point, then lost all my profits in the span of like 2 weeks... I think I shorted some huge monster hit and got crushed. I'm now back up to 5.4 million, which isn't all that great I guess.
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It was a serious question. So-called "prediction markets" generally have suprisingly accurate consensuses; HSX predicted 35 out of the 40 Oscar nominees in the top eight categories, and the correct winner of all six of the top categories plus Best Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay.
Since there are also "market predictions" on opening weekends and other stuff which is capped here I am interested in the opinion of some of the better movie cappers. HSX might be a good information resource.
Phaedrus
It was a serious question. So-called "prediction markets" generally have suprisingly accurate consensuses; HSX predicted 35 out of the 40 Oscar nominees in the top eight categories, and the correct winner of all six of the top categories plus Best Screenplay and Best Adapted Screenplay.
Since there are also "market predictions" on opening weekends and other stuff which is capped here I am interested in the opinion of some of the better movie cappers. HSX might be a good information resource.
Phaedrus
well, generally the the prices aren't that much more helpful than the predictions put out by the movie sights. Collateral is priced at 86 bucks right now, divided by 2.8, is a prediction of a 30.9 million opener. The studio tracking is in the lower 20's. I'm shorting it. Little Black Book is priced at 26, meaning it's priced for a 9.4 million weekend, right where the line is. I'm shorting that one as well. It's really sporadic, sometimes the price is just around right, usually it's a bit too high or too low, sometimes it's way off. Someone said that if you longed every opener last year you'd be up just over a million bucks, that's it. I do take into account the stock price of a movie when attempting to cap it.
People went batshit about that one, but of course it was not just a matter of whether or not it is immoral to speculate on tragedy -- there was the fear that with a financial incentive to do so, terrorist groups could essentially fund their activities out of speculating on their activities.
There are lots of interesting sites like this out there, some of which deal in actual money vs. play money. The IEM is one I'm currently checking out, among others. Very cool stuff.
Phaedrus
There are lots of interesting sites like this out there, some of which deal in actual money vs. play money. The IEM is one I'm currently checking out, among others. Very cool stuff.
Phaedrus
[ The studio tracking is in the lower 20's. .[/QUOTE]
Is that the same studio tracking that said Bourne Supremacy would make 35 - 40 million and it went on to make 50 + million.
Same tracking that said last week Harold and Kuma would make 10 million.. and it made only 5 million.
Same tracking that said The Village would make only 40 million or less... and then the Village made 50 million.
Let's face it... Studio Tracking SUCKS!!!!!
If you trust studio trackign you're going to get
in the ass!!!
Is that the same studio tracking that said Bourne Supremacy would make 35 - 40 million and it went on to make 50 + million.
Same tracking that said last week Harold and Kuma would make 10 million.. and it made only 5 million.
Same tracking that said The Village would make only 40 million or less... and then the Village made 50 million.
Let's face it... Studio Tracking SUCKS!!!!!
If you trust studio trackign you're going to get
